Web Bot

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Web Bot, or the Web Bot Project, refers to an Internet bot software program that is claimed to be able to predict future events by tracking keywords entered on the Internet. It was created in 1997, originally to predict stock market trends.[1] The creator of the Web Bot Project, Clif High, along with his associate George Ure, who call themselves "The Time Monks"[2], keep the technology and algorithms largely secret and sell the predictions via the website halfpasthuman.com.

Methodology

High and Ure say that the Web Bot works by using a form of the Wisdom of Crowds, with spiders that search the internet for about 300,000 keywords with emotional context[3] and record the preceding and following words to create a "snapshot." Through this, the technology is claimed to be able to examine the collective unconscious of the world as a whole. It is thus said to be able to predict catastrophic events 60 to 90 days in advance. 看

Predictions

Claimed hits

The Web Bot is claimed to have predicted several events prior to them occurring, most notably the September 11 attacks and the 2003 Northeastern United States blackout.[4] However, many believe the predictions are vague and, at best, pseudoscientific.[5]

Misses

  • A massive earthquake in Vancouver and the Pacific Northwest was predicted to occur on 12 December 2008.[11]
  • A "global coastal event" in mid-2009, which Ure and High said that they recommended people to stay away from coastal areas.[11]
  • A complete collapse of the US dollar beginning in 2009.[12]
  • October 25, 2009 - A catastrophe starts on October 25, 2009. It could have been that the H1N1 flu virus reaches a level of extreme lethality, the US dollar completely collapses, or Israel bombs Iran. In reaction to this crisis, administration of U.S. President Barack Obama would have been thrown into major chaos ten days later.[2][13]
  • The stock market crash in late-September 2008, and the recession that followed.

Future predictions

  • Major catastrophe in 2012 - The Web Bot has gained most of its notoriety for contributing to the 2012 phenomenon by predicting that a cataclysm will devastate the planet in the year 2012, possibly a reversing of Earth's magnetic poles or a small series of nuclear attacks leading up to a major attack on this day. The prediction does not necessarily call for a complete end of the world.[14][15][16][17]

Reception

The History Channel has discussed Web Bot in its special Nostradamus Effect and on other shows featuring predictions about the end of the world.[18] A Globe and Mail journalist noted that "What interests me more than the bot's accuracy (of which I'm skeptical), is the relentless negativity of its projections. According to the bot, the future is always bleak and steadily worsening."[11]

Tom Chivers in the Daily Telegraph notes three criticisms of the project: "the internet might plausibly reveal group knowledge about the stock market or, conceivably, terror attacks [but] it would be no more capable of predicting a natural disaster than would a Google search, ... the predictions are so vague as to be meaningless, [and] the prophecies become self-distorting."[1][19]

References

  1. 1.0 1.1 Chivers, Tom (24 September 2009). [{{Expansion depth limit exceeded|{{{Expansion depth limit exceeded}}} |{{Expansion depth limit exceeded|{{Expansion depth limit exceeded| http://www.pubmedcentral.nih.gov/articlerender.fcgi?tool=pmcentrez&artid={{{Expansion depth limit exceeded}}} }} }} }} "'Web-bot project' makes prophecy of 2012 apocalypse"]. The Daily Telegraph. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/technology/news/6227357/Web-bot-project-makes-prophecy-of-2012-apocalypse.html. Retrieved 2009-10-04. 
  2. 2.0 2.1 [{{Expansion depth limit exceeded||}} "Web Bot Predictions"]. Coast to Coast AM. {{Expansion depth limit exceeded||}}. Retrieved October 3, 2009. 
  3. Shamah, David (23 December 2008). [{{Expansion depth limit exceeded|{{{Expansion depth limit exceeded}}} |{{Expansion depth limit exceeded|{{Expansion depth limit exceeded| http://www.pubmedcentral.nih.gov/articlerender.fcgi?tool=pmcentrez&artid={{{Expansion depth limit exceeded}}} }} }} }} "Digital World: I have seen the future, and it's on the Web"]. The Jerusalem Post. http://www.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?cid=1229868823280&pagename=JPost%2FJPArticle%2FShowFull. Retrieved 2009-10-04. 
  4. [{{Expansion depth limit exceeded||}} "BotHit5 Power Blackout Fulfills Web Bot Predictions"]. Urban Survival Weekly. {{Expansion depth limit exceeded||}}. 
  5. [{{Expansion depth limit exceeded||}} "Web Bot, What is it? Can it Predict Stuff?"]. Daily Common Sense. {{Expansion depth limit exceeded||}}. 
  6. 6.0 6.1 [{{Expansion depth limit exceeded||}} "World's expiry date: 21 December 2012?"]. NewKerala.com. {{Expansion depth limit exceeded||}}. Retrieved October 3, 2009. 
  7. [1]
  8. 8.0 8.1 8.2 [2]
  9. 9.0 9.1 9.2 [{{Expansion depth limit exceeded||}} "Decoding the End of Days"]. Toronto Star. {{Expansion depth limit exceeded||}}. Retrieved 25 October 2009. 
  10. [{{Expansion depth limit exceeded||}} "‘Web-bot project’ makes prophecy of 2012 apocalypse"]. Ethiopian Review. {{Expansion depth limit exceeded||}}. Retrieved October 4, 2009. 
  11. 11.0 11.1 11.2 Taylor, Timothy (January 2009). [{{Expansion depth limit exceeded|{{{Expansion depth limit exceeded}}} |{{Expansion depth limit exceeded|{{Expansion depth limit exceeded| http://www.pubmedcentral.nih.gov/articlerender.fcgi?tool=pmcentrez&artid={{{Expansion depth limit exceeded}}} }} }} }} "Vanwaterworld? Hold the Armageddon talk"]. The Globe and Mail. http://www.theglobeandmail.com/life/article651047.ece. Retrieved 2009-10-04. 
  12. [{{Expansion depth limit exceeded||}} "Dollar Demise is Premature - A Discourse on a New Gold Standard"]. WallStreetPit.com. {{Expansion depth limit exceeded||}}. Retrieved October 6, 2009. 
  13. [{{Expansion depth limit exceeded||}} "The Market's Current Psychological Map"]. Seeking Alpha. {{Expansion depth limit exceeded||}}. Retrieved 25 October 2009. 
  14. [{{Expansion depth limit exceeded||}} "Web Bot Predictions"]. Mirror of Aphrodite. {{Expansion depth limit exceeded||}}. Retrieved October 3, 2009. 
  15. [{{Expansion depth limit exceeded||}} "World’s expiry date: 21 December 2012?"]. ExpressIndia. {{Expansion depth limit exceeded||}}. Retrieved October 3, 2009. 
  16. [{{Expansion depth limit exceeded||}} "2012 Disaster Film Director Admits he Scared Himself"]. The Epoch Times. {{Expansion depth limit exceeded||}}. Retrieved 25 October 2009. 
  17. [{{Expansion depth limit exceeded||}} "El Nostradamus virtual (in Spanish)"]. El Día. {{Expansion depth limit exceeded||}}. Retrieved 25 October 2009. 
  18. [3]
  19. [{{Expansion depth limit exceeded||}} "Web Bot Project and 2012"]. Mirror of Aphrodite. {{Expansion depth limit exceeded||}}. Retrieved October 3, 2009. 

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